Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.184926 0.213945 0.245998 0.284024 0.327911 0.376980 0.436024
2025-10-05 0.144341 0.184736 0.233969 0.298384 0.380477 0.481666 0.616002
2025-10-12 0.121270 0.166461 0.225423 0.307984 0.420678 0.569282 0.780457
2025-10-19 0.104970 0.152564 0.218214 0.315375 0.455641 0.651063 0.944626
2025-10-26 0.091548 0.139817 0.209689 0.318184 0.482604 0.722858 1.101553
2025-11-02 0.079414 0.126793 0.198400 0.314478 0.498203 0.778361 1.239384
2025-11-09 0.068163 0.113340 0.184367 0.304122 0.501347 0.814038 1.349245
2025-11-16 0.062383 0.107697 0.181590 0.310790 0.531526 0.894323 1.538292
2025-11-23 0.056596 0.101205 0.176473 0.312639 0.553410 0.962694 1.714333
2025-11-30 0.052159 0.096413 0.173524 0.317572 0.580661 1.042293 1.917688
2025-12-07 0.046621 0.088936 0.164958 0.311369 0.587131 1.085805 2.060696
2025-12-14 0.042182 0.082921 0.158280 0.307699 0.597502 1.136837 2.222294
2025-12-21 0.038932 0.078864 0.154910 0.310135 0.620142 1.213851 2.443879
2025-12-28 0.037526 0.078267 0.158078 0.325650 0.669972 1.348010 2.792858
2026-01-04 0.035671 0.076515 0.158737 0.336127 0.710735 1.468436 3.127385
2026-01-11 0.033735 0.074351 0.158289 0.344191 0.747285 1.583939 3.464267
2026-01-18 0.031514 0.071302 0.155648 0.347257 0.773479 1.680532 3.771307
2026-01-25 0.028905 0.067086 0.150047 0.343213 0.783694 1.744106 4.012898
2026-02-01 0.025993 0.061842 0.141630 0.331913 0.776421 1.768747 4.169584
2026-02-08 0.024758 0.060335 0.141376 0.339188 0.812201 1.892532 4.567384
2026-02-15 0.023254 0.058012 0.139000 0.341206 0.835858 1.991018 4.916281
2026-02-22 0.022097 0.056393 0.138086 0.346589 0.868060 2.112466 5.333492
2026-03-01 0.020294 0.052960 0.132468 0.339821 0.869786 2.161541 5.577638